Recent GFS and other model guidance points to clear skies, subsiding air, and southwesterly flow supporting an afternoon maximum near 37°C in Madrid on September 7, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors efficient surface heating but leaves limited headroom for 38°C unless insolation or advection strengthens slightly. Historical September 7 records reach 38.5°C, yet the current climatological baseline near 28–29°C and consensus forecasts cluster tightly around 36–37°C, explaining the near-even market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and AEMET observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 7 septembre ?
37°C 54%
38°C 41%
36°C 6%
35°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
34°C ou moins
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
6%
37°C
54%
38°C
41%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou plus
<1%
37°C 54%
38°C 41%
36°C 6%
35°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
34°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$33 Vol.
6%
37°C
$380 Vol.
54%
38°C
$79 Vol.
41%
39°C
$29 Vol.
3%
40°C
$0 Vol.
2%
41°C
$0 Vol.
1%
42°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
44°C ou plus
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and other model guidance points to clear skies, subsiding air, and southwesterly flow supporting an afternoon maximum near 37°C in Madrid on September 7, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors efficient surface heating but leaves limited headroom for 38°C unless insolation or advection strengthens slightly. Historical September 7 records reach 38.5°C, yet the current climatological baseline near 28–29°C and consensus forecasts cluster tightly around 36–37°C, explaining the near-even market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and AEMET observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$620Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and other model guidance points to clear skies, subsiding air, and southwesterly flow supporting an afternoon maximum near 37°C in Madrid on September 7, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors efficient surface heating but leaves limited headroom for 38°C unless insolation or advection strengthens slightly. Historical September 7 records reach 38.5°C, yet the current climatological baseline near 28–29°C and consensus forecasts cluster tightly around 36–37°C, explaining the near-even market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and AEMET observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$620Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and other model guidance points to clear skies, subsiding air, and southwesterly flow supporting an afternoon maximum near 37°C in Madrid on September 7, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors efficient surface heating but leaves limited headroom for 38°C unless insolation or advection strengthens slightly. Historical September 7 records reach 38.5°C, yet the current climatological baseline near 28–29°C and consensus forecasts cluster tightly around 36–37°C, explaining the near-even market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Fresh model runs and AEMET observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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