**The dominant 31°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 4, 2026.** Observational data from the agency’s network showed afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C amid typical early-September subtropical conditions, with average historical maxima near 30.8°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limited stronger heating but did not prevent the daily high from attaining the 31°C threshold used for market resolution. Trader consensus aligns with this verified measurement rather than forecasts or models, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of the final HKO datum. Only a post-publication data revision or station-specific discrepancy could realistically shift the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
$201,987 Vol.
$201,987 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
$201,987 Vol.
$201,987 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$15,994 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,388 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,242 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15,262 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$29,386 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$32,203 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$46,416 Vol.
100%
32°C
$31,631 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$17,241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 31°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 4, 2026.** Observational data from the agency’s network showed afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C amid typical early-September subtropical conditions, with average historical maxima near 30.8°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limited stronger heating but did not prevent the daily high from attaining the 31°C threshold used for market resolution. Trader consensus aligns with this verified measurement rather than forecasts or models, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of the final HKO datum. Only a post-publication data revision or station-specific discrepancy could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$201,987Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 31°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 4, 2026.** Observational data from the agency’s network showed afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C amid typical early-September subtropical conditions, with average historical maxima near 30.8°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limited stronger heating but did not prevent the daily high from attaining the 31°C threshold used for market resolution. Trader consensus aligns with this verified measurement rather than forecasts or models, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of the final HKO datum. Only a post-publication data revision or station-specific discrepancy could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$201,987Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**The dominant 31°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading for September 4, 2026.** Observational data from the agency’s network showed afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C amid typical early-September subtropical conditions, with average historical maxima near 30.8°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limited stronger heating but did not prevent the daily high from attaining the 31°C threshold used for market resolution. Trader consensus aligns with this verified measurement rather than forecasts or models, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of the final HKO datum. Only a post-publication data revision or station-specific discrepancy could realistically shift the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes