Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 5 septembre ?
24°C ou moins 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
24°C ou moins 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$222 Vol.
100%
25°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou plus
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$805Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$805Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Madrid's minimum temperature on September 5 is shaped by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions allowing efficient radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs placing the overnight low near or below 24°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light northeasterly flow. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 17°C, though recent warm anomalies have kept values elevated; current surface observations and short-range guidance confirm the market-implied outcome near 99.8% as traders incorporate the latest 00Z–12Z model runs. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or unexpected warm advection from the southwest could push the minimum above 24°C, but such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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