Recent forecast runs from models like GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle between 11–14°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 11.8°C for the date. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds that dominate the order book. Official guidance from European meteorological services shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings to 10°C or below. Updated model outputs later today will clarify whether the low holds near 13–14°C or edges higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 5 septembre ?
16°C 54%
14°C 47%
13°C 45%
15°C 45%
10°C ou moins
-
11°C
5%
12°C
7%
13°C
45%
14°C
47%
15°C
45%
16°C
54%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 54%
14°C 47%
13°C 45%
15°C 45%
10°C ou moins
-
11°C
5%
12°C
7%
13°C
45%
14°C
47%
15°C
45%
16°C
54%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from models like GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle between 11–14°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 11.8°C for the date. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds that dominate the order book. Official guidance from European meteorological services shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings to 10°C or below. Updated model outputs later today will clarify whether the low holds near 13–14°C or edges higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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