**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures. Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 23 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 23 août ?
24°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$12,191 Vol.
$12,191 Vol.
23 août 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$12,191 Vol.
$12,191 Vol.
23 août 2026
20°C or below
$430 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,824 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,850 Vol.
100%
25°C
$1,976 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$936 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures.
Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volume
$12,191Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures.
Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,191Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures. Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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