Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place New York City’s August 25 high near 78–81 °F, with model consensus split between a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming and a subtle onshore flow or increased cloud cover that caps readings. These conditions explain why the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins dominate trader sentiment at roughly 40 % and 35 % implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any sea-breeze development, afternoon humidity levels that modulate the urban heat island, and small errors in boundary-layer mixing within short-range models. Historical Central Park data show late-August maxima average near 83 °F, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly whose resolution hinges on the next National Weather Service update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 25 août ?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$2 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$112 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$24 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$50 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place New York City’s August 25 high near 78–81 °F, with model consensus split between a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming and a subtle onshore flow or increased cloud cover that caps readings. These conditions explain why the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins dominate trader sentiment at roughly 40 % and 35 % implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any sea-breeze development, afternoon humidity levels that modulate the urban heat island, and small errors in boundary-layer mixing within short-range models. Historical Central Park data show late-August maxima average near 83 °F, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly whose resolution hinges on the next National Weather Service update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$209Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place New York City’s August 25 high near 78–81 °F, with model consensus split between a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming and a subtle onshore flow or increased cloud cover that caps readings. These conditions explain why the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins dominate trader sentiment at roughly 40 % and 35 % implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any sea-breeze development, afternoon humidity levels that modulate the urban heat island, and small errors in boundary-layer mixing within short-range models. Historical Central Park data show late-August maxima average near 83 °F, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly whose resolution hinges on the next National Weather Service update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$209Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place New York City’s August 25 high near 78–81 °F, with model consensus split between a weak high-pressure ridge allowing modest warming and a subtle onshore flow or increased cloud cover that caps readings. These conditions explain why the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins dominate trader sentiment at roughly 40 % and 35 % implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any sea-breeze development, afternoon humidity levels that modulate the urban heat island, and small errors in boundary-layer mixing within short-range models. Historical Central Park data show late-August maxima average near 83 °F, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly whose resolution hinges on the next National Weather Service update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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