Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 24 août ?
29°C 49%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
5%
29°C 49%
28°C 27%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
21°C or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$308 Vol.
1%
26°C
$381 Vol.
2%
27°C
$742 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,845 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,954 Vol.
49%
30°C
$1,510 Vol.
18%
31°C or higher
$587 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,755Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,755Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan's peak temperature on August 24 near 27–29°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes amid a modest cooling trend after the 31°C reading recorded on August 17. Light easterly winds, mostly sunny skies, and afternoon instability support limited diurnal heating in the Po Valley, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide context for the tight clustering. Model spread remains modest but includes potential for 30°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens, or slightly lower values if cloud cover increases. Final official measurements from Milan stations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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