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icon for What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?

What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?

icon for What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?

What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?

$22,357 Vol.

Sep 9, 2026
Polymarket

$22,357 Vol.

Polymarket

Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times

$677 Vol.

No

Hell 10+ times

$601 Vol.

Yes

Vegan

$556 Vol.

No

Ass

$2,624 Vol.

Yes

Autism

$1,470 Vol.

No

Charlie / Kirk

$543 Vol.

Yes

Gay

$1,339 Vol.

No

No Tax on Tips

$254 Vol.

Yes

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$514 Vol.

Yes

Radical Left

$398 Vol.

Yes

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

$734 Vol.

No

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

$676 Vol.

Yes

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$4,479 Vol.

No

Rigged Election

$1,432 Vol.

No

Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin

$5,317 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$744 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTrump’s scheduled September 9, 2026 remarks at the Republican National Convention in Dallas occur as the sitting president rallies support ahead of November midterms. Traders price high probabilities on recurring elements of his public messaging, including “MAGA,” tax-relief pledges such as “no tax on tips,” and references to border security and economic metrics. Recent statements have stressed tariff enforcement, manufacturing incentives, and foreign-policy priorities, patterns that shape expectations for the convention address. The event’s timing within the midterm cycle and its focus on party mobilization create a narrow window in which specific phrasing can move shares, while the resolution relies solely on audio or video of the designated appearance.

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$22,357
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTrump’s scheduled September 9, 2026 remarks at the Republican National Convention in Dallas occur as the sitting president rallies support ahead of November midterms. Traders price high probabilities on recurring elements of his public messaging, including “MAGA,” tax-relief pledges such as “no tax on tips,” and references to border security and economic metrics. Recent statements have stressed tariff enforcement, manufacturing incentives, and foreign-policy priorities, patterns that shape expectations for the convention address. The event’s timing within the midterm cycle and its focus on party mobilization create a narrow window in which specific phrasing can move shares, while the resolution relies solely on audio or video of the designated appearance.

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$22,357
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hell 10+ times" at 100%, followed by "Ass" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" has generated $22.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" is "Hell 10+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ass" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.