Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub clustering near 37-39 percent approve amid 56-60 percent disapproval. Trader pricing for the September 11 reading reflects this stability, centered on the 38.0-38.9 range. Sustained pressure from voter views on the economy, inflation, tariffs, and the ongoing Iran conflict has limited upside, while Republican support remains firm overall but shows softening enthusiasm in some surveys. Limited movement in the past month, absent major new catalysts before the measurement date, keeps the distribution tight across adjacent bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 36%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 26%
39.0–39.4 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
7%
37.5–37.9
29%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0–39.4
12%
39.5+
4%
38.0–38.4 36%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 26%
39.0–39.4 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$196 Vol.
7%
37.5–37.9
$10 Vol.
29%
38.0–38.4
$120 Vol.
36%
38.5–38.9
$10 Vol.
26%
39.0–39.4
$142 Vol.
12%
39.5+
$41 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub clustering near 37-39 percent approve amid 56-60 percent disapproval. Trader pricing for the September 11 reading reflects this stability, centered on the 38.0-38.9 range. Sustained pressure from voter views on the economy, inflation, tariffs, and the ongoing Iran conflict has limited upside, while Republican support remains firm overall but shows softening enthusiasm in some surveys. Limited movement in the past month, absent major new catalysts before the measurement date, keeps the distribution tight across adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$519End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub clustering near 37-39 percent approve amid 56-60 percent disapproval. Trader pricing for the September 11 reading reflects this stability, centered on the 38.0-38.9 range. Sustained pressure from voter views on the economy, inflation, tariffs, and the ongoing Iran conflict has limited upside, while Republican support remains firm overall but shows softening enthusiasm in some surveys. Limited movement in the past month, absent major new catalysts before the measurement date, keeps the distribution tight across adjacent bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$519End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub clustering near 37-39 percent approve amid 56-60 percent disapproval. Trader pricing for the September 11 reading reflects this stability, centered on the 38.0-38.9 range. Sustained pressure from voter views on the economy, inflation, tariffs, and the ongoing Iran conflict has limited upside, while Republican support remains firm overall but shows softening enthusiasm in some surveys. Limited movement in the past month, absent major new catalysts before the measurement date, keeps the distribution tight across adjacent bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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