Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 26°C in Taipei on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with no active typhoon or frontal system, support this range, consistent with historical September lows averaging around 24°C but elevated by current warmth. Traders assign 88% implied probability to 26°C as the leading outcome, with lower probabilities for cooler thresholds reflecting model consensus on minimal overnight drops to 24-26°C. Updated runs and observational data from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 13?
26°C 96%
23°C 34%
24°C 24%
22°C 17%
21°C or below
9%
22°C
17%
23°C
34%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C
90%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96%
23°C 34%
24°C 24%
22°C 17%
21°C or below
9%
22°C
17%
23°C
34%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C
90%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 26°C in Taipei on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. Subtropical late-summer patterns, with no active typhoon or frontal system, support this range, consistent with historical September lows averaging around 24°C but elevated by current warmth. Traders assign 88% implied probability to 26°C as the leading outcome, with lower probabilities for cooler thresholds reflecting model consensus on minimal overnight drops to 24-26°C. Updated runs and observational data from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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