Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 clustered around 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and elevated dew points near 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical late-summer subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture reduces diurnal ranges. Model runs show minor divergence on exact overnight lows depending on rain timing and wind shifts, creating the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Official station readings at resolution will hinge on peak cooling windows after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
21°C or below 31%
31°C or higher 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
31%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
31%
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
21°C or below 31%
31°C or higher 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$38 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 clustered around 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and elevated dew points near 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical late-summer subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture reduces diurnal ranges. Model runs show minor divergence on exact overnight lows depending on rain timing and wind shifts, creating the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Official station readings at resolution will hinge on peak cooling windows after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$38End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 clustered around 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and elevated dew points near 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical late-summer subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture reduces diurnal ranges. Model runs show minor divergence on exact overnight lows depending on rain timing and wind shifts, creating the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Official station readings at resolution will hinge on peak cooling windows after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 clustered around 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and elevated dew points near 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical late-summer subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture reduces diurnal ranges. Model runs show minor divergence on exact overnight lows depending on rain timing and wind shifts, creating the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C outcomes. Official station readings at resolution will hinge on peak cooling windows after midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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