**Mild overnight conditions under stable high pressure have positioned 17°C as the clear market leader for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026.** Forecasts from GFS-based models and agency guidance show the overnight minimum settling near 17–18°C (63–64°F) amid light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity around 60–70%, with daytime highs reaching 25–27°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for Milan, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions produces a diurnal range of roughly 7–10°C. No significant frontal passages or anomalous advection are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 16°C or below very low and limiting upside risk above 18°C. Traders are weighting the consensus minimum near the 17°C threshold as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
-
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
$75 Vol.
1%
12°C
$30 Vol.
7%
13°C
$152 Vol.
1%
14°C
$150 Vol.
1%
15°C
$102 Vol.
1%
16°C
$151 Vol.
9%
17°C
$392 Vol.
-
18°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,699 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions under stable high pressure have positioned 17°C as the clear market leader for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026.** Forecasts from GFS-based models and agency guidance show the overnight minimum settling near 17–18°C (63–64°F) amid light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity around 60–70%, with daytime highs reaching 25–27°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for Milan, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions produces a diurnal range of roughly 7–10°C. No significant frontal passages or anomalous advection are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 16°C or below very low and limiting upside risk above 18°C. Traders are weighting the consensus minimum near the 17°C threshold as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,078End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions under stable high pressure have positioned 17°C as the clear market leader for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026.** Forecasts from GFS-based models and agency guidance show the overnight minimum settling near 17–18°C (63–64°F) amid light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity around 60–70%, with daytime highs reaching 25–27°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for Milan, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions produces a diurnal range of roughly 7–10°C. No significant frontal passages or anomalous advection are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 16°C or below very low and limiting upside risk above 18°C. Traders are weighting the consensus minimum near the 17°C threshold as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,078End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild overnight conditions under stable high pressure have positioned 17°C as the clear market leader for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026.** Forecasts from GFS-based models and agency guidance show the overnight minimum settling near 17–18°C (63–64°F) amid light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity around 60–70%, with daytime highs reaching 25–27°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for Milan, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy conditions produces a diurnal range of roughly 7–10°C. No significant frontal passages or anomalous advection are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 16°C or below very low and limiting upside risk above 18°C. Traders are weighting the consensus minimum near the 17°C threshold as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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