**Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, with forecast minimums clustered near 4–6 °C but model spreads creating uncertainty around the freezing mark.** Multiple runs show dew points dropping to –1 °C or lower in the pre-dawn hours, supporting a plausible dip to 0 °C or below if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal, while slight increases in mixing or residual moisture could hold the low at 1–2 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and station data will resolve the exact minimum; traders are weighting the balance between strong nocturnal cooling potential and the moderating influence of the current high-pressure regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 13?
-1°C or below 100%
1°C 48%
0°C 24%
2°C <1%
-1°C or below
100%
0°C
24%
1°C
48%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
<1%
-1°C or below 100%
1°C 48%
0°C 24%
2°C <1%
-1°C or below
100%
0°C
24%
1°C
48%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, with forecast minimums clustered near 4–6 °C but model spreads creating uncertainty around the freezing mark.** Multiple runs show dew points dropping to –1 °C or lower in the pre-dawn hours, supporting a plausible dip to 0 °C or below if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal, while slight increases in mixing or residual moisture could hold the low at 1–2 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and station data will resolve the exact minimum; traders are weighting the balance between strong nocturnal cooling potential and the moderating influence of the current high-pressure regime.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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