**Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei’s death in the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes, maintains a low public profile with minimal direct engagement on X.** He has issued occasional written statements and authorized office-managed posts on the official @khamenei_ir account, but has avoided frequent personal activity or live appearances since taking office. Recent health-related speculation, including reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and limited visibility, has persisted into August 2026 despite Iranian officials asserting he is in “perfect health” and involved in decision-making. The August 9 appointment of a new Supreme National Security Council secretary represents one of the few recent official actions that could generate statements, yet it aligns with patterns of controlled, infrequent messaging rather than daily output. Traders price the <5 posts outcome highest because these structural factors—succession dynamics, recovery constraints, and preference for formal channels—have historically produced sparse weekly activity on the account, with higher bins reflecting only modest upside if a major regional development prompts additional releases during the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 46%
5-9 23%
10-14 14%
15-19 11.4%
<5
46%
5-9
23%
10-14
14%
15-19
11%
20-24
11%
25-29
11%
30-34
10%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 46%
5-9 23%
10-14 14%
15-19 11.4%
<5
46%
5-9
23%
10-14
14%
15-19
11%
20-24
11%
25-29
11%
30-34
10%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei’s death in the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes, maintains a low public profile with minimal direct engagement on X.** He has issued occasional written statements and authorized office-managed posts on the official @khamenei_ir account, but has avoided frequent personal activity or live appearances since taking office. Recent health-related speculation, including reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and limited visibility, has persisted into August 2026 despite Iranian officials asserting he is in “perfect health” and involved in decision-making. The August 9 appointment of a new Supreme National Security Council secretary represents one of the few recent official actions that could generate statements, yet it aligns with patterns of controlled, infrequent messaging rather than daily output. Traders price the <5 posts outcome highest because these structural factors—succession dynamics, recovery constraints, and preference for formal channels—have historically produced sparse weekly activity on the account, with higher bins reflecting only modest upside if a major regional development prompts additional releases during the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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