Traders see the 180-239 tweet brackets as the most probable landing zone for Elon Musk’s output from August 7-14 because his recent weekly totals have consistently clustered in that range. Baseline activity in July and early August 2026 averaged roughly 30-35 posts on weekdays and 20-plus on weekends, producing eight-day sums near 220-230 absent major catalysts. Momentum remains steady amid routine platform commentary, product updates, and replies, with no immediate regulatory flare-ups or launches expected to spike volume. Volatility from sudden news cycles or personal controversies could still push totals above 280 or compress them below 180, keeping the tightly bunched mid-range brackets competitive and reflective of aggregated real-money assessment of his habitual posting cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 17%
200-219 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14%
$81,853 Vol.
$81,853 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
7%
160-179
12%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14%
$81,853 Vol.
$81,853 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
7%
160-179
12%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-239 tweet brackets as the most probable landing zone for Elon Musk’s output from August 7-14 because his recent weekly totals have consistently clustered in that range. Baseline activity in July and early August 2026 averaged roughly 30-35 posts on weekdays and 20-plus on weekends, producing eight-day sums near 220-230 absent major catalysts. Momentum remains steady amid routine platform commentary, product updates, and replies, with no immediate regulatory flare-ups or launches expected to spike volume. Volatility from sudden news cycles or personal controversies could still push totals above 280 or compress them below 180, keeping the tightly bunched mid-range brackets competitive and reflective of aggregated real-money assessment of his habitual posting cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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