**Current forecast models and real-time observational data position 36°C as the leading outcome for Qingdao's highest temperature on August 1, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps early-August highs near 30–32°C, yet recent regional atmospheric patterns, including high-pressure systems and warm-air advection over eastern China, have shifted consensus toward above-average readings. Official agency guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights potential for localized intensification under clear to partly cloudy conditions, with low precipitation risk supporting greater diurnal heating. Historical baselines show occasional peaks to 35°C during similar setups, aligning with the 21% odds on 35°C and 11% on 37°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and final daily maximum reports will determine resolution as trading reflects aggregated assessment of these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
35°C 46.0%
36°C 40%
37°C 15%
38°C or higher 1.0%
$32,944 Vol.
$32,944 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
50%
36°C
49%
37°C
15%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 46.0%
36°C 40%
37°C 15%
38°C or higher 1.0%
$32,944 Vol.
$32,944 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$424 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$836 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,305 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,874 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,890 Vol.
50%
36°C
$4,147 Vol.
49%
37°C
$4,199 Vol.
15%
38°C or higher
$6,959 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and real-time observational data position 36°C as the leading outcome for Qingdao's highest temperature on August 1, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps early-August highs near 30–32°C, yet recent regional atmospheric patterns, including high-pressure systems and warm-air advection over eastern China, have shifted consensus toward above-average readings. Official agency guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights potential for localized intensification under clear to partly cloudy conditions, with low precipitation risk supporting greater diurnal heating. Historical baselines show occasional peaks to 35°C during similar setups, aligning with the 21% odds on 35°C and 11% on 37°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and final daily maximum reports will determine resolution as trading reflects aggregated assessment of these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$32,944End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and real-time observational data position 36°C as the leading outcome for Qingdao's highest temperature on August 1, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps early-August highs near 30–32°C, yet recent regional atmospheric patterns, including high-pressure systems and warm-air advection over eastern China, have shifted consensus toward above-average readings. Official agency guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights potential for localized intensification under clear to partly cloudy conditions, with low precipitation risk supporting greater diurnal heating. Historical baselines show occasional peaks to 35°C during similar setups, aligning with the 21% odds on 35°C and 11% on 37°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and final daily maximum reports will determine resolution as trading reflects aggregated assessment of these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,944End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models and real-time observational data position 36°C as the leading outcome for Qingdao's highest temperature on August 1, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps early-August highs near 30–32°C, yet recent regional atmospheric patterns, including high-pressure systems and warm-air advection over eastern China, have shifted consensus toward above-average readings. Official agency guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights potential for localized intensification under clear to partly cloudy conditions, with low precipitation risk supporting greater diurnal heating. Historical baselines show occasional peaks to 35°C during similar setups, aligning with the 21% odds on 35°C and 11% on 37°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and final daily maximum reports will determine resolution as trading reflects aggregated assessment of these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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