Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 9?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
17%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$2,243 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$24 Vol.
1%
30°C
$99 Vol.
2%
31°C
$109 Vol.
8%
32°C
$210 Vol.
17%
33°C
$206 Vol.
37%
34°C
$68 Vol.
28%
35°C
$6 Vol.
6%
36°C
$12 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,383End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,383End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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