Recent forecast guidance from major European and global models supports peak temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting warm southerly advection, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to allow efficient surface heating, while the urban heat island effect may add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus narrows around these values after recent runs, though small timing shifts in any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty. Traders have priced the 34°C outcome highest, reflecting alignment with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of final observations at Munich Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
37%
34°C
51%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$696 Vol.
1%
31°C
$754 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,700 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,115 Vol.
37%
34°C
$2,303 Vol.
51%
35°C
$1,616 Vol.
9%
36°C
$847 Vol.
1%
37°C
$743 Vol.
1%
38°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major European and global models supports peak temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting warm southerly advection, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to allow efficient surface heating, while the urban heat island effect may add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus narrows around these values after recent runs, though small timing shifts in any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty. Traders have priced the 34°C outcome highest, reflecting alignment with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of final observations at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,766End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major European and global models supports peak temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting warm southerly advection, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to allow efficient surface heating, while the urban heat island effect may add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus narrows around these values after recent runs, though small timing shifts in any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty. Traders have priced the 34°C outcome highest, reflecting alignment with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of final observations at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,766End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from major European and global models supports peak temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting warm southerly advection, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Limited cloud cover and light winds are expected to allow efficient surface heating, while the urban heat island effect may add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus narrows around these values after recent runs, though small timing shifts in any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty. Traders have priced the 34°C outcome highest, reflecting alignment with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of final observations at Munich Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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