Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining summer conditions across northern Italy’s Po Valley, with Milan’s peak temperature on August 19 most likely reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Light rain or afternoon instability could trim the maximum slightly below model consensus, while urban heat-island effects and moderate humidity may support readings at the upper end of that range. Historical August maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context, and the current setup shows no strong signals for either a pronounced heat surge or significant cooling. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and any updates from Italian meteorological services for confirmation of these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 19?
33°C 50%
32°C 35%
34°C 7%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
35%
33°C
50%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
32°C 35%
34°C 7%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$424 Vol.
2%
31°C
$904 Vol.
6%
32°C
$639 Vol.
35%
33°C
$2,704 Vol.
50%
34°C
$560 Vol.
7%
35°C
$260 Vol.
2%
36°C
$341 Vol.
1%
37°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining summer conditions across northern Italy’s Po Valley, with Milan’s peak temperature on August 19 most likely reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Light rain or afternoon instability could trim the maximum slightly below model consensus, while urban heat-island effects and moderate humidity may support readings at the upper end of that range. Historical August maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context, and the current setup shows no strong signals for either a pronounced heat surge or significant cooling. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and any updates from Italian meteorological services for confirmation of these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,811End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining summer conditions across northern Italy’s Po Valley, with Milan’s peak temperature on August 19 most likely reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Light rain or afternoon instability could trim the maximum slightly below model consensus, while urban heat-island effects and moderate humidity may support readings at the upper end of that range. Historical August maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context, and the current setup shows no strong signals for either a pronounced heat surge or significant cooling. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and any updates from Italian meteorological services for confirmation of these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,811End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining summer conditions across northern Italy’s Po Valley, with Milan’s peak temperature on August 19 most likely reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Light rain or afternoon instability could trim the maximum slightly below model consensus, while urban heat-island effects and moderate humidity may support readings at the upper end of that range. Historical August maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context, and the current setup shows no strong signals for either a pronounced heat surge or significant cooling. Traders are closely watching the next model runs and any updates from Italian meteorological services for confirmation of these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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