Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds around 15 mph and a modest offshore flow component on September 2, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-70s to mid-80s across Los Angeles stations. This range aligns with historical September averages near 77°F yet reflects trader focus on marine-layer moderation versus slight warming from northerly winds, keeping the 74–79°F bins dominant. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable high pressure, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing could nudge readings across the tightly clustered 76–79°F thresholds that hold the bulk of implied probability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on September 1–2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
76-77°F 37%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 37%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
65°F or below
$926 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$513 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$256 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$82 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$49 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$387 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$416 Vol.
37%
78-79°F
$349 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$33 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$23 Vol.
2%
84°F or higher
$47 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds around 15 mph and a modest offshore flow component on September 2, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-70s to mid-80s across Los Angeles stations. This range aligns with historical September averages near 77°F yet reflects trader focus on marine-layer moderation versus slight warming from northerly winds, keeping the 74–79°F bins dominant. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable high pressure, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing could nudge readings across the tightly clustered 76–79°F thresholds that hold the bulk of implied probability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on September 1–2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,080End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds around 15 mph and a modest offshore flow component on September 2, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-70s to mid-80s across Los Angeles stations. This range aligns with historical September averages near 77°F yet reflects trader focus on marine-layer moderation versus slight warming from northerly winds, keeping the 74–79°F bins dominant. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable high pressure, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing could nudge readings across the tightly clustered 76–79°F thresholds that hold the bulk of implied probability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on September 1–2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,080End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate sunny conditions with southwest winds around 15 mph and a modest offshore flow component on September 2, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-70s to mid-80s across Los Angeles stations. This range aligns with historical September averages near 77°F yet reflects trader focus on marine-layer moderation versus slight warming from northerly winds, keeping the 74–79°F bins dominant. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable high pressure, though small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing could nudge readings across the tightly clustered 76–79°F thresholds that hold the bulk of implied probability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on September 1–2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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