Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a daily maximum of 90–92°F in Denver on August 18 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and mid-50s dew points. This aligns closely with the market’s leading bins at 90–91°F (46.5%) and 92–93°F (32.5%), reflecting trader assessment of conditions slightly above the 87°F seasonal normal. Low moisture and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while light winds limit mixing that could otherwise cap temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 18?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 18?
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 11%
NEW
$12,551 Vol.
NEW
$12,551 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
11%
96°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 11%
NEW
$12,551 Vol.
NEW
$12,551 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
77°F or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$192 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$441 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$893 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,831 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$1,279 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$3,266 Vol.
47%
92-93°F
$1,632 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$1,133 Vol.
11%
96°F or higher
$586 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a daily maximum of 90–92°F in Denver on August 18 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and mid-50s dew points. This aligns closely with the market’s leading bins at 90–91°F (46.5%) and 92–93°F (32.5%), reflecting trader assessment of conditions slightly above the 87°F seasonal normal. Low moisture and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while light winds limit mixing that could otherwise cap temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$12,551End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a daily maximum of 90–92°F in Denver on August 18 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and mid-50s dew points. This aligns closely with the market’s leading bins at 90–91°F (46.5%) and 92–93°F (32.5%), reflecting trader assessment of conditions slightly above the 87°F seasonal normal. Low moisture and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while light winds limit mixing that could otherwise cap temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,551End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a daily maximum of 90–92°F in Denver on August 18 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast flow, and mid-50s dew points. This aligns closely with the market’s leading bins at 90–91°F (46.5%) and 92–93°F (32.5%), reflecting trader assessment of conditions slightly above the 87°F seasonal normal. Low moisture and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while light winds limit mixing that could otherwise cap temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though minor shifts in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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