Official measurements from the National Weather Service station in Denver recorded a daily high of 92–93°F on August 17, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon cooling. This outcome aligned with model guidance showing above-normal temperatures driven by a ridge of high pressure, pushing readings roughly 5–6°F above the 1991–2020 average high of 87°F for the date. Trader consensus quickly consolidated at 100% implied probability for the 92–93°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak, reflecting the high reliability of automated surface observations and the narrow uncertainty range in post-event verification. Only extreme revisions to the official record or station relocation issues could realistically alter resolution, both of which remain improbable given established NWS protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 17?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$38,012 Vol.
$38,012 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$38,012 Vol.
$38,012 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
79°F or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,872 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,025 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,484 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,859 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$8,001 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$7,011 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$3,456 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,964 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service station in Denver recorded a daily high of 92–93°F on August 17, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon cooling. This outcome aligned with model guidance showing above-normal temperatures driven by a ridge of high pressure, pushing readings roughly 5–6°F above the 1991–2020 average high of 87°F for the date. Trader consensus quickly consolidated at 100% implied probability for the 92–93°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak, reflecting the high reliability of automated surface observations and the narrow uncertainty range in post-event verification. Only extreme revisions to the official record or station relocation issues could realistically alter resolution, both of which remain improbable given established NWS protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$38,012End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service station in Denver recorded a daily high of 92–93°F on August 17, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon cooling. This outcome aligned with model guidance showing above-normal temperatures driven by a ridge of high pressure, pushing readings roughly 5–6°F above the 1991–2020 average high of 87°F for the date. Trader consensus quickly consolidated at 100% implied probability for the 92–93°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak, reflecting the high reliability of automated surface observations and the narrow uncertainty range in post-event verification. Only extreme revisions to the official record or station relocation issues could realistically alter resolution, both of which remain improbable given established NWS protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,012End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the National Weather Service station in Denver recorded a daily high of 92–93°F on August 17, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon cooling. This outcome aligned with model guidance showing above-normal temperatures driven by a ridge of high pressure, pushing readings roughly 5–6°F above the 1991–2020 average high of 87°F for the date. Trader consensus quickly consolidated at 100% implied probability for the 92–93°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak, reflecting the high reliability of automated surface observations and the narrow uncertainty range in post-event verification. Only extreme revisions to the official record or station relocation issues could realistically alter resolution, both of which remain improbable given established NWS protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions