National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a daily high near 100–101°F in Dallas on August 4, 2026, driven by a persistent central U.S. heat dome with strong high pressure inducing subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warm, humid Gulf moisture under typical late-summer conditions. This setup aligns with regional 100° day climatology and recent observations of triple-digit readings amid minimal overnight cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probability (63%) to the 100–101°F bin, reflecting limited model spread and absence of disruptive fronts or cloud cover in the latest runs, while lower bins capture modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations measured at official stations such as Dallas Love Field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
100-101°F 63%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 13%
97°F or below 3.2%
$18,051 Vol.
$18,051 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
97°F or below
3%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
63%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 63%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 13%
97°F or below 3.2%
$18,051 Vol.
$18,051 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
97°F or below
$2,364 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$2,237 Vol.
13%
100-101°F
$5,682 Vol.
63%
102-103°F
$2,232 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$2,199 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$445 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$519 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$367 Vol.
<1%
116°F or higher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a daily high near 100–101°F in Dallas on August 4, 2026, driven by a persistent central U.S. heat dome with strong high pressure inducing subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warm, humid Gulf moisture under typical late-summer conditions. This setup aligns with regional 100° day climatology and recent observations of triple-digit readings amid minimal overnight cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probability (63%) to the 100–101°F bin, reflecting limited model spread and absence of disruptive fronts or cloud cover in the latest runs, while lower bins capture modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations measured at official stations such as Dallas Love Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$18,051End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a daily high near 100–101°F in Dallas on August 4, 2026, driven by a persistent central U.S. heat dome with strong high pressure inducing subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warm, humid Gulf moisture under typical late-summer conditions. This setup aligns with regional 100° day climatology and recent observations of triple-digit readings amid minimal overnight cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probability (63%) to the 100–101°F bin, reflecting limited model spread and absence of disruptive fronts or cloud cover in the latest runs, while lower bins capture modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations measured at official stations such as Dallas Love Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,051End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a daily high near 100–101°F in Dallas on August 4, 2026, driven by a persistent central U.S. heat dome with strong high pressure inducing subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warm, humid Gulf moisture under typical late-summer conditions. This setup aligns with regional 100° day climatology and recent observations of triple-digit readings amid minimal overnight cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probability (63%) to the 100–101°F bin, reflecting limited model spread and absence of disruptive fronts or cloud cover in the latest runs, while lower bins capture modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized variations measured at official stations such as Dallas Love Field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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