Recent model consensus from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires’ August 8 maximum near 13°C amid a lingering polar air mass and southwest winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 12–14°C, with modest afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover creating the narrow spread between the market’s leading 14°C (40.5%) and 13°C (34.5%) outcomes. Historical mid-winter averages near 15–17°C underscore the current cooling anomaly, while the 12°C and 15°C tails capture residual model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Latest hourly guidance shows peaks likely between late morning and mid-afternoon, when final observational data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 8?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 8?
14°C 42%
13°C 38%
12°C 15%
15°C 8%
NEW
$15,632 Vol.
NEW
$15,632 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
15%
13°C
38%
14°C
42%
15°C
8%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
13°C 38%
12°C 15%
15°C 8%
NEW
$15,632 Vol.
NEW
$15,632 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
8°C or below
$519 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$666 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,138 Vol.
15%
13°C
$4,124 Vol.
38%
14°C
$4,817 Vol.
42%
15°C
$1,359 Vol.
8%
16°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$690 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires’ August 8 maximum near 13°C amid a lingering polar air mass and southwest winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 12–14°C, with modest afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover creating the narrow spread between the market’s leading 14°C (40.5%) and 13°C (34.5%) outcomes. Historical mid-winter averages near 15–17°C underscore the current cooling anomaly, while the 12°C and 15°C tails capture residual model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Latest hourly guidance shows peaks likely between late morning and mid-afternoon, when final observational data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$15,632End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires’ August 8 maximum near 13°C amid a lingering polar air mass and southwest winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 12–14°C, with modest afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover creating the narrow spread between the market’s leading 14°C (40.5%) and 13°C (34.5%) outcomes. Historical mid-winter averages near 15–17°C underscore the current cooling anomaly, while the 12°C and 15°C tails capture residual model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Latest hourly guidance shows peaks likely between late morning and mid-afternoon, when final observational data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,632End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires’ August 8 maximum near 13°C amid a lingering polar air mass and southwest winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 12–14°C, with modest afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover creating the narrow spread between the market’s leading 14°C (40.5%) and 13°C (34.5%) outcomes. Historical mid-winter averages near 15–17°C underscore the current cooling anomaly, while the 12°C and 15°C tails capture residual model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Latest hourly guidance shows peaks likely between late morning and mid-afternoon, when final observational data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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