Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a typical late-summer pattern over Atlanta, with surface highs likely peaking in the mid-80s as abundant low-level moisture and daytime instability trigger scattered thunderstorms by afternoon. These storms often develop along weak boundaries or sea-breeze influences, with cloud cover and evaporative cooling capping further temperature rise and producing the narrow spread between 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F outcomes. Recent observations near 82–84 °F under partly cloudy skies, combined with forecast soundings showing modest mid-level lapse rates, reinforce trader consensus around these bins while leaving room for slightly warmer readings if convection remains suppressed or delayed. Historical August normals near 89 °F provide context, yet the active convective regime this week introduces the primary uncertainty reflected in the closely matched leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 4?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 29%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 13%
$27,073 Vol.
$27,073 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 29%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 13%
$27,073 Vol.
$27,073 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a typical late-summer pattern over Atlanta, with surface highs likely peaking in the mid-80s as abundant low-level moisture and daytime instability trigger scattered thunderstorms by afternoon. These storms often develop along weak boundaries or sea-breeze influences, with cloud cover and evaporative cooling capping further temperature rise and producing the narrow spread between 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F outcomes. Recent observations near 82–84 °F under partly cloudy skies, combined with forecast soundings showing modest mid-level lapse rates, reinforce trader consensus around these bins while leaving room for slightly warmer readings if convection remains suppressed or delayed. Historical August normals near 89 °F provide context, yet the active convective regime this week introduces the primary uncertainty reflected in the closely matched leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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