Recent forecast model runs indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Ankara on September 14, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows hotter conditions near 32 °C on the 13th, driven by a change in air mass and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Multiple sources align on afternoon highs in this range, with low precipitation risk and typical September humidity levels supporting the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C and 27 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread of model guidance and historical late-summer variability, though minor forecast adjustments could still influence the final recorded peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
26°C 54%
27°C 35%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
NEW
$15,353 Vol.
NEW
$15,353 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27°C
35%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 35%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
NEW
$15,353 Vol.
NEW
$15,353 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$620 Vol.
1%
24°C
$890 Vol.
1%
25°C
$4,231 Vol.
9%
26°C
$1,661 Vol.
54%
27°C
$5,466 Vol.
35%
28°C
$1,268 Vol.
2%
29°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Ankara on September 14, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows hotter conditions near 32 °C on the 13th, driven by a change in air mass and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Multiple sources align on afternoon highs in this range, with low precipitation risk and typical September humidity levels supporting the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C and 27 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread of model guidance and historical late-summer variability, though minor forecast adjustments could still influence the final recorded peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,353End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Ankara on September 14, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows hotter conditions near 32 °C on the 13th, driven by a change in air mass and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Multiple sources align on afternoon highs in this range, with low precipitation risk and typical September humidity levels supporting the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C and 27 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread of model guidance and historical late-summer variability, though minor forecast adjustments could still influence the final recorded peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,353End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs indicate a shift to cooler conditions over Ankara on September 14, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 25–27 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows hotter conditions near 32 °C on the 13th, driven by a change in air mass and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Multiple sources align on afternoon highs in this range, with low precipitation risk and typical September humidity levels supporting the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C and 27 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread of model guidance and historical late-summer variability, though minor forecast adjustments could still influence the final recorded peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions