Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and BBC project a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on August 1 under sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the city’s continental climate where August averages reach 31°C. Trader consensus clustering at 27–29°C (over 97% implied probability) reflects model consensus on modest cooling from a recent high-pressure ridge and lower-than-peak insolation, with limited moisture to suppress extremes. Official measurements will resolve the exact maximum, and any late-day convective development or measurement-site variance could shift outcomes within the narrow 27–29°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 1?
28°C 54%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
30°C 3%
$20,762 Vol.
$20,762 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
22%
28°C
54%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
30°C 3%
$20,762 Vol.
$20,762 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
22%
28°C
54%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and BBC project a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on August 1 under sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the city’s continental climate where August averages reach 31°C. Trader consensus clustering at 27–29°C (over 97% implied probability) reflects model consensus on modest cooling from a recent high-pressure ridge and lower-than-peak insolation, with limited moisture to suppress extremes. Official measurements will resolve the exact maximum, and any late-day convective development or measurement-site variance could shift outcomes within the narrow 27–29°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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