Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
27°C 37%
26°C 35%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C
37%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 35%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
$369 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$503 Vol.
1%
24°C
$551 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,181 Vol.
16%
26°C
$790 Vol.
35%
27°C
$860 Vol.
37%
28°C
$1,802 Vol.
11%
29°C
$493 Vol.
2%
30°C
$460 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$405 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,855End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,855End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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