**Recent expansions in the Berlin electorate and heightened campaign dynamics support the strong trader consensus favoring higher turnout in the September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election.** The 2023 repeat election recorded 62.9% participation among roughly 2.43 million eligible voters. For 2026, officials project around 2.5 million eligible voters, driven by increased naturalizations and, for the first time, voting rights extended to 16- and 17-year-olds. District assembly elections held concurrently further broaden participation, including for EU citizens. Polls reflect a competitive contest with notable shifts among parties such as the CDU, Linke, and AfD, alongside intensified get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of the vote. These structural and mobilization factors underpin the 93.5% implied probability for turnout rising relative to 2023.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
92% chance
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Sep 20, 2026
Up
92% chance
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Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**Recent expansions in the Berlin electorate and heightened campaign dynamics support the strong trader consensus favoring higher turnout in the September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election.** The 2023 repeat election recorded 62.9% participation among roughly 2.43 million eligible voters. For 2026, officials project around 2.5 million eligible voters, driven by increased naturalizations and, for the first time, voting rights extended to 16- and 17-year-olds. District assembly elections held concurrently further broaden participation, including for EU citizens.
Polls reflect a competitive contest with notable shifts among parties such as the CDU, Linke, and AfD, alongside intensified get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of the vote. These structural and mobilization factors underpin the 93.5% implied probability for turnout rising relative to 2023.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,871End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**Recent expansions in the Berlin electorate and heightened campaign dynamics support the strong trader consensus favoring higher turnout in the September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election.** The 2023 repeat election recorded 62.9% participation among roughly 2.43 million eligible voters. For 2026, officials project around 2.5 million eligible voters, driven by increased naturalizations and, for the first time, voting rights extended to 16- and 17-year-olds. District assembly elections held concurrently further broaden participation, including for EU citizens.
Polls reflect a competitive contest with notable shifts among parties such as the CDU, Linke, and AfD, alongside intensified get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of the vote. These structural and mobilization factors underpin the 93.5% implied probability for turnout rising relative to 2023.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$1,871End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent expansions in the Berlin electorate and heightened campaign dynamics support the strong trader consensus favoring higher turnout in the September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election.** The 2023 repeat election recorded 62.9% participation among roughly 2.43 million eligible voters. For 2026, officials project around 2.5 million eligible voters, driven by increased naturalizations and, for the first time, voting rights extended to 16- and 17-year-olds. District assembly elections held concurrently further broaden participation, including for EU citizens. Polls reflect a competitive contest with notable shifts among parties such as the CDU, Linke, and AfD, alongside intensified get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of the vote. These structural and mobilization factors underpin the 93.5% implied probability for turnout rising relative to 2023.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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