**Recent revelations of alleged ties between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and the failed Banco Master bank, including messages from its jailed former owner and a multimillion-real contract involving his wife’s law firm, have triggered dozens of Senate impeachment petitions and media calls for his resignation or removal.** Opposition senators and public rallies have amplified pressure ahead of the October presidential election. However, the Senate president controls whether petitions advance, and no proceedings have moved forward. The Supreme Federal Court itself postponed any decision on investigating Moraes until at least after the election, while justices enjoy strong tenure protections until age 75. These institutional and procedural hurdles explain trader consensus that removal remains unlikely despite the ongoing controversy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated18% chance
$87,062 Vol.
$87,062 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
18% chance
$87,062 Vol.
$87,062 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Recent revelations of alleged ties between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and the failed Banco Master bank, including messages from its jailed former owner and a multimillion-real contract involving his wife’s law firm, have triggered dozens of Senate impeachment petitions and media calls for his resignation or removal.** Opposition senators and public rallies have amplified pressure ahead of the October presidential election. However, the Senate president controls whether petitions advance, and no proceedings have moved forward. The Supreme Federal Court itself postponed any decision on investigating Moraes until at least after the election, while justices enjoy strong tenure protections until age 75. These institutional and procedural hurdles explain trader consensus that removal remains unlikely despite the ongoing controversy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$87,062End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Recent revelations of alleged ties between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and the failed Banco Master bank, including messages from its jailed former owner and a multimillion-real contract involving his wife’s law firm, have triggered dozens of Senate impeachment petitions and media calls for his resignation or removal.** Opposition senators and public rallies have amplified pressure ahead of the October presidential election. However, the Senate president controls whether petitions advance, and no proceedings have moved forward. The Supreme Federal Court itself postponed any decision on investigating Moraes until at least after the election, while justices enjoy strong tenure protections until age 75. These institutional and procedural hurdles explain trader consensus that removal remains unlikely despite the ongoing controversy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,062End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent revelations of alleged ties between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and the failed Banco Master bank, including messages from its jailed former owner and a multimillion-real contract involving his wife’s law firm, have triggered dozens of Senate impeachment petitions and media calls for his resignation or removal.** Opposition senators and public rallies have amplified pressure ahead of the October presidential election. However, the Senate president controls whether petitions advance, and no proceedings have moved forward. The Supreme Federal Court itself postponed any decision on investigating Moraes until at least after the election, while justices enjoy strong tenure protections until age 75. These institutional and procedural hurdles explain trader consensus that removal remains unlikely despite the ongoing controversy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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