**The leading 180-199 bracket reflects the @WhiteHouse account’s established weekly output under the current administration, typically averaging 26–28 posts per day for roughly 182–196 total posts.** This pace exceeds prior periods, driven by expanded use of X for policy announcements, rapid-response messaging, jobs and economic data releases, and engagement-focused content across official and affiliated handles. Recent weeks, including early September activity around the August jobs report and rancher policy updates, have stayed within this range without sharp deviations from baseline volume. The 200+ outcome captures upside potential from intensified messaging periods, while the 160-179 band accounts for modest slowdowns. No major holidays, procedural pauses, or foreign-policy escalations in the resolution window have altered the recent pattern, keeping probabilities clustered around the observed historical average.