The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$46,696 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
17%
31 de diciembre
31%
$46,696 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$43 Vol.
17%
31 de diciembre
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volumen
$46,696Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$46,696Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure campaign on Cuba since January 2026, imposing an oil blockade after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela cut off Havana’s primary fuel supplier. Executive orders have authorized tariffs on third-country oil providers, sanctions on state-owned Cupet, and additional restrictions on energy and related sectors, with the stated goal of extracting concessions or prompting policy shifts. Limited Treasury licenses have permitted some private-sector Venezuelan oil resales, yet overall enforcement has tightened amid Cuba’s energy crisis and blackouts. Diplomatic signals remain sparse, with Russia and Mexico exploring workarounds and the UN highlighting humanitarian effects. Any relief announcement would require a clear shift in bilateral talks or U.S. licensing policy within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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