Skip to main content
icon for ¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?

14% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

14% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Natalie Harp remains Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to President Trump, with no reported plans or signals of departure.** She has held the role since the January 20, 2025 inauguration and continues to serve as a highly trusted gatekeeper, managing access, information flow, and certain communications duties such as drafting or posting on Truth Social. Recent August 2026 reporting highlights her constant proximity to the president, including on Marine One and in the Oval Office, along with her loyalty as described by White House spokespeople. Scrutiny over her delayed security clearance and internal dynamics has drawn attention but has not prompted any public statements, personnel actions, or leaks indicating an exit. Trader consensus reflected in the 86% “No” price aligns with the absence of structural or political catalysts—such as confirmation hearings, resignations, or administration shake-ups—that would typically precede a departure by year-end. No scheduled events or confirmed developments in the coming months point to a change in her status.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$202
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Natalie Harp remains Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to President Trump, with no reported plans or signals of departure.** She has held the role since the January 20, 2025 inauguration and continues to serve as a highly trusted gatekeeper, managing access, information flow, and certain communications duties such as drafting or posting on Truth Social. Recent August 2026 reporting highlights her constant proximity to the president, including on Marine One and in the Oval Office, along with her loyalty as described by White House spokespeople. Scrutiny over her delayed security clearance and internal dynamics has drawn attention but has not prompted any public statements, personnel actions, or leaks indicating an exit. Trader consensus reflected in the 86% “No” price aligns with the absence of structural or political catalysts—such as confirmation hearings, resignations, or administration shake-ups—that would typically precede a departure by year-end. No scheduled events or confirmed developments in the coming months point to a change in her status.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$202
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Natalie Harp dejará de ser Asistente Especial del Presidente para el 31 de diciembre?" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 14¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "¿Natalie Harp dejará de ser Asistente Especial del Presidente para el 31 de diciembre?" con 14%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Natalie Harp será la Asistente Especial del Presidente antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.