Absence of any official announcements, scheduled bilateral summits, or credible diplomatic signals for a Kim Jong Un visit to the United States before December 31, 2026, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus on “No.” North Korea continues to condition engagement on U.S. acceptance of its nuclear status and sanctions relief, while recent Trump statements emphasize ongoing contact and potential meetings in Asia rather than a Washington trip. Logistical, security, and protocol barriers for such a high-profile visit remain substantial, with no precedent in Kim’s limited foreign travel record. Late-year developments, including an unexpected Trump invitation accepted during an Asia itinerary or rapid de-escalation tied to broader negotiations, represent the primary pathways that could still shift probabilities before resolution.