Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-20 posts daily across 2025 and 2026 with occasional spikes exceeding 100 in a single day, anchors trader expectations near the middle ranges for the August 21-28 window. High day-to-day variance driven by news cycles, late-night sessions, and policy or campaign developments sustains the tight spread among bins from 140-159 through 200+, as markets price in both routine volume and potential surges. Platform traffic declines this summer and the launch of premium early-access feeds have not altered his output pace, keeping implied probabilities clustered without clear separation. Scheduled events or breaking developments in the coming week could shift volume notably higher or lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado200+ 24%
140-159 21%
180-199 16%
160-179 15%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
3%
80-99
2%
100-119
14%
120-139
14%
140-159
21%
160-179
15%
180-199
16%
200+
24%
200+ 24%
140-159 21%
180-199 16%
160-179 15%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
3%
80-99
2%
100-119
14%
120-139
14%
140-159
21%
160-179
15%
180-199
16%
200+
24%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-20 posts daily across 2025 and 2026 with occasional spikes exceeding 100 in a single day, anchors trader expectations near the middle ranges for the August 21-28 window. High day-to-day variance driven by news cycles, late-night sessions, and policy or campaign developments sustains the tight spread among bins from 140-159 through 200+, as markets price in both routine volume and potential surges. Platform traffic declines this summer and the launch of premium early-access feeds have not altered his output pace, keeping implied probabilities clustered without clear separation. Scheduled events or breaking developments in the coming week could shift volume notably higher or lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes