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¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)

icon for ¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)

¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)

NUEVO
17 ago 2026
Polymarket

$143 Vol.

Polymarket

17 de agosto

$0 Vol.

50%

18 de agosto

$0 Vol.

45%

19 de agosto

$0 Vol.

44%

20 de agosto

$21 Vol.

44%

21 de agosto

$41 Vol.

57%

22 de agosto

$81 Vol.

63%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's schedule during the week of August 17–22 centers on executive time and policy meetings at the White House or Trump National Golf Club Bedminster, with limited public events or out-of-town travel noted in advance. Recent daily schedules show full lids called between 5:17 PM and 6:02 PM on multiple days in mid-August when the president remains at the golf club or residence with closed-press time blocks, reflecting a pattern of early evening wrap-ups absent late briefings or announcements. Trader sentiment tracks these routine calendar items closely, as any unscheduled remarks, document signings, or diplomatic updates could push activities past 6:30 PM and alter the implied probability reflected in current pricing. No major legislative deadlines, summits, or confirmation hearings fall inside the resolution window to introduce additional volatility.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Volumen
$143
Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's schedule during the week of August 17–22 centers on executive time and policy meetings at the White House or Trump National Golf Club Bedminster, with limited public events or out-of-town travel noted in advance. Recent daily schedules show full lids called between 5:17 PM and 6:02 PM on multiple days in mid-August when the president remains at the golf club or residence with closed-press time blocks, reflecting a pattern of early evening wrap-ups absent late briefings or announcements. Trader sentiment tracks these routine calendar items closely, as any unscheduled remarks, document signings, or diplomatic updates could push activities past 6:30 PM and alter the implied probability reflected in current pricing. No major legislative deadlines, summits, or confirmation hearings fall inside the resolution window to introduce additional volatility.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Volumen
$143
Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "22 de agosto" con 63%, seguido de "21 de agosto" con 57%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)" es "22 de agosto" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "21 de agosto" con 57%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La Casa Blanca cerrará por completo antes de las 6:30 p. m.? (17 de agosto - 22 de agosto)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.