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icon for ¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?

¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?

icon for ¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?

¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?

20-39 60%

40-59 30%

60-79 6.4%

<20 1.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

20-39 60%

40-59 30%

60-79 6.4%

<20 1.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<20

$276 Vol.

2%

20-39

$778 Vol.

60%

40-59

$752 Vol.

30%

60-79

$491 Vol.

8%

80-99

$199 Vol.

1%

100-119

$141 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$259 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$136 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$139 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$179 Vol.

<1%

200+

$179 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor X account has established a recent weekly posting range of 20-39 messages, as confirmed by the prior week’s market resolution. Traders appear to view this cadence as the baseline for the August 25–September 1 window, reflecting the mayor’s communication approach since taking office in January 2026. No major policy announcements, crises, or scheduled events in the immediate forecast suggest a sharp deviation from that pattern, keeping the 20-39 bracket as the clear market leader. Higher ranges receive limited support, consistent with the absence of sustained campaign-style activity or breaking developments that would drive increased output. The market’s pricing therefore tracks observed posting behavior and the lack of near-term catalysts likely to alter it.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,527
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor X account has established a recent weekly posting range of 20-39 messages, as confirmed by the prior week’s market resolution. Traders appear to view this cadence as the baseline for the August 25–September 1 window, reflecting the mayor’s communication approach since taking office in January 2026. No major policy announcements, crises, or scheduled events in the immediate forecast suggest a sharp deviation from that pattern, keeping the 20-39 bracket as the clear market leader. Higher ranges receive limited support, consistent with the absence of sustained campaign-style activity or breaking developments that would drive increased output. The market’s pricing therefore tracks observed posting behavior and the lack of near-term catalysts likely to alter it.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,527
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20-39" con 60%, seguido de "40-59" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?" es "20-39" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "40-59" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 25 de agosto al 1 de septiembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.