Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 25 de agosto?
11°C o menos 95%
21°C o más 55%
12°C 49%
20°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
11°C o menos
95%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16 °C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
37%
21°C o más
55%
11°C o menos 95%
21°C o más 55%
12°C 49%
20°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$5 Vol.
95%
12°C
$5 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16 °C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$4 Vol.
19%
20°C
$5 Vol.
37%
21°C o más
$5 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes