Recent forecasts from global and regional models center Chengdu's August 24 maximum temperature in the 34–36°C range, driving the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes amid broad ensemble spreads. Ongoing East Asian monsoon influences, combined with variable low-level wind patterns and potential afternoon cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, create the main uncertainty between 35°C and 36°C scenarios. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide baseline context, while a developing El Niño may sustain warmer-than-normal conditions. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs over the next 24–48 hours should refine guidance ahead of official station verification at Chengdu Shuangliu.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 24 de agosto?
36°C 30%
35°C 24%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
17%
35°C
24%
36°C
30%
37°C
16%
38°C o más
2%
36°C 30%
35°C 24%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$146 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$145 Vol.
2%
30°C
$145 Vol.
2%
31°C
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$466 Vol.
3%
33°C
$806 Vol.
7%
34°C
$779 Vol.
17%
35°C
$1,088 Vol.
24%
36°C
$799 Vol.
30%
37°C
$848 Vol.
16%
38°C o más
$2,074 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models center Chengdu's August 24 maximum temperature in the 34–36°C range, driving the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes amid broad ensemble spreads. Ongoing East Asian monsoon influences, combined with variable low-level wind patterns and potential afternoon cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, create the main uncertainty between 35°C and 36°C scenarios. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide baseline context, while a developing El Niño may sustain warmer-than-normal conditions. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs over the next 24–48 hours should refine guidance ahead of official station verification at Chengdu Shuangliu.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,327Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models center Chengdu's August 24 maximum temperature in the 34–36°C range, driving the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes amid broad ensemble spreads. Ongoing East Asian monsoon influences, combined with variable low-level wind patterns and potential afternoon cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, create the main uncertainty between 35°C and 36°C scenarios. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide baseline context, while a developing El Niño may sustain warmer-than-normal conditions. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs over the next 24–48 hours should refine guidance ahead of official station verification at Chengdu Shuangliu.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,327Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models center Chengdu's August 24 maximum temperature in the 34–36°C range, driving the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes amid broad ensemble spreads. Ongoing East Asian monsoon influences, combined with variable low-level wind patterns and potential afternoon cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, create the main uncertainty between 35°C and 36°C scenarios. Historical August averages near 31–34°C provide baseline context, while a developing El Niño may sustain warmer-than-normal conditions. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs over the next 24–48 hours should refine guidance ahead of official station verification at Chengdu Shuangliu.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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