Forecast models from official and meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds near 10–18 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns closely with the long-term August average high of approximately 24.7°C and reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing stronger warming or cooling. Real-time observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward this peak without notable model divergence. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because surface data and ensemble guidance show limited upside potential for 26°C or higher amid moderate humidity and dry air advection, while downside risk below 24°C remains constrained by daytime insolation. Updated agency briefings later today could refine the exact peak within the narrow window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 23 de agosto?
24°C 53%
25°C 47%
23°C 1.1%
26°C <1%
$40,360 Vol.
$40,360 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
53%
25°C
47%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
25°C 47%
23°C 1.1%
26°C <1%
$40,360 Vol.
$40,360 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
53%
25°C
47%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from official and meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds near 10–18 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns closely with the long-term August average high of approximately 24.7°C and reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing stronger warming or cooling. Real-time observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward this peak without notable model divergence. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because surface data and ensemble guidance show limited upside potential for 26°C or higher amid moderate humidity and dry air advection, while downside risk below 24°C remains constrained by daytime insolation. Updated agency briefings later today could refine the exact peak within the narrow window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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