Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a moderating airmass over northern France on August 24, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This follows a brief late-week cooldown after higher readings near 29–31°C earlier in the period. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C, aligns with these central tendencies while assigning lower weight to cooler or warmer outliers pending the final observational data from official Paris stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 24 de agosto?
27°C 46%
28°C 25%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
$14,623 Vol.
$14,623 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
46%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
28°C 25%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
$14,623 Vol.
$14,623 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
46%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a moderating airmass over northern France on August 24, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This follows a brief late-week cooldown after higher readings near 29–31°C earlier in the period. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C, aligns with these central tendencies while assigning lower weight to cooler or warmer outliers pending the final observational data from official Paris stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes