PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 25 de agosto?
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
26°C o menos
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
24%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C o más
1%
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$112 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$20 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$137Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$137Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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