**The southwest monsoon continues to dominate weather patterns over Manila, with PAGASA forecasting cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms for August 24 that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 26–30 °C range.** Recent observations show a 31.5 °C peak on August 23 under similar conditions, while multiple models diverge on afternoon clearing potential, with some projecting isolated peaks near 32 °C if convection remains suppressed. Persistent moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the range of likely daily maxima. Trader consensus around 30–32 °C reflects this model spread and the timing of any convective activity relative to the daily temperature peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite trends on August 24 morning will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 24 de agosto?
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C o más
4%
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$3 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
1%
28°C
$135 Vol.
3%
29°C
$23 Vol.
8%
30°C
$244 Vol.
19%
31°C
$475 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,199 Vol.
24%
33°C
$597 Vol.
6%
34°C o más
$113 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The southwest monsoon continues to dominate weather patterns over Manila, with PAGASA forecasting cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms for August 24 that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 26–30 °C range.** Recent observations show a 31.5 °C peak on August 23 under similar conditions, while multiple models diverge on afternoon clearing potential, with some projecting isolated peaks near 32 °C if convection remains suppressed. Persistent moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the range of likely daily maxima. Trader consensus around 30–32 °C reflects this model spread and the timing of any convective activity relative to the daily temperature peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite trends on August 24 morning will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,005Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The southwest monsoon continues to dominate weather patterns over Manila, with PAGASA forecasting cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms for August 24 that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 26–30 °C range.** Recent observations show a 31.5 °C peak on August 23 under similar conditions, while multiple models diverge on afternoon clearing potential, with some projecting isolated peaks near 32 °C if convection remains suppressed. Persistent moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the range of likely daily maxima. Trader consensus around 30–32 °C reflects this model spread and the timing of any convective activity relative to the daily temperature peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite trends on August 24 morning will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,005Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The southwest monsoon continues to dominate weather patterns over Manila, with PAGASA forecasting cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms for August 24 that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 26–30 °C range.** Recent observations show a 31.5 °C peak on August 23 under similar conditions, while multiple models diverge on afternoon clearing potential, with some projecting isolated peaks near 32 °C if convection remains suppressed. Persistent moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the range of likely daily maxima. Trader consensus around 30–32 °C reflects this model spread and the timing of any convective activity relative to the daily temperature peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite trends on August 24 morning will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes