Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by monsoon moisture and afternoon convection, which are limiting solar heating and capping daytime peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 30°C outcome at 62% implied probability, as models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show persistent overcast conditions suppressing the typical August high of 31–33°C. Historical patterns indicate that such precipitation events often prevent temperatures from exceeding 31°C, while any clearing could briefly push readings to 32°C or higher, though current data shifts emphasize the moderating effect of rain.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
31°C 41%
30°C 35%
32°C 18%
33°C 6%
$48,211 Vol.
$48,211 Vol.
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
41%
31°C
34%
32°C
20%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 35%
32°C 18%
33°C 6%
$48,211 Vol.
$48,211 Vol.
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
$4,280 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,915 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,922 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,156 Vol.
41%
31°C
$4,126 Vol.
34%
32°C
$3,716 Vol.
20%
33°C
$6,238 Vol.
6%
34°C
$4,326 Vol.
3%
35°C
$3,333 Vol.
1%
36°C
$4,538 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by monsoon moisture and afternoon convection, which are limiting solar heating and capping daytime peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 30°C outcome at 62% implied probability, as models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show persistent overcast conditions suppressing the typical August high of 31–33°C. Historical patterns indicate that such precipitation events often prevent temperatures from exceeding 31°C, while any clearing could briefly push readings to 32°C or higher, though current data shifts emphasize the moderating effect of rain.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$48,211Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by monsoon moisture and afternoon convection, which are limiting solar heating and capping daytime peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 30°C outcome at 62% implied probability, as models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show persistent overcast conditions suppressing the typical August high of 31–33°C. Historical patterns indicate that such precipitation events often prevent temperatures from exceeding 31°C, while any clearing could briefly push readings to 32°C or higher, though current data shifts emphasize the moderating effect of rain.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$48,211Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by monsoon moisture and afternoon convection, which are limiting solar heating and capping daytime peaks near 30–32°C amid high humidity and cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 30°C outcome at 62% implied probability, as models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration show persistent overcast conditions suppressing the typical August high of 31–33°C. Historical patterns indicate that such precipitation events often prevent temperatures from exceeding 31°C, while any clearing could briefly push readings to 32°C or higher, though current data shifts emphasize the moderating effect of rain.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes