Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
25°C 97%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
29%
23°C
18%
24°C
23%
25°C
80%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 97%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
19°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$284 Vol.
1%
22°C
$112 Vol.
29%
23°C
$95 Vol.
18%
24°C
$62 Vol.
23%
25°C
$155 Vol.
80%
26°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,718Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,718Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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