Persistent cloud cover, showers, and post-frontal westerly flow are keeping Environment Canada and model consensus centered on a Toronto high near 21°C for August 23. Cooler air advection behind a recent frontal passage, combined with widespread cloudiness that sharply reduces surface insolation, has suppressed daytime maxima well below the late-August climatological average of roughly 25.5°C. Multiple guidance runs align on 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% shower chance and possible thunderstorms, explaining the tight market clustering at 21°C (45.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 22°C (18.5%). Updated morning model runs and radar trends remain the next key inputs likely to shift these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 23 de agosto?
21°C 45%
20°C 32%
22°C 21%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
$21,628 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,628 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
32%
21°C
45%
22°C
21%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 45%
20°C 32%
22°C 21%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
$21,628 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,628 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
$776 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,165 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,341 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,349 Vol.
7%
20°C
$3,089 Vol.
32%
21°C
$1,870 Vol.
45%
22°C
$2,638 Vol.
21%
23°C
$1,162 Vol.
1%
24°C
$865 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$676 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and post-frontal westerly flow are keeping Environment Canada and model consensus centered on a Toronto high near 21°C for August 23. Cooler air advection behind a recent frontal passage, combined with widespread cloudiness that sharply reduces surface insolation, has suppressed daytime maxima well below the late-August climatological average of roughly 25.5°C. Multiple guidance runs align on 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% shower chance and possible thunderstorms, explaining the tight market clustering at 21°C (45.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 22°C (18.5%). Updated morning model runs and radar trends remain the next key inputs likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$21,628Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and post-frontal westerly flow are keeping Environment Canada and model consensus centered on a Toronto high near 21°C for August 23. Cooler air advection behind a recent frontal passage, combined with widespread cloudiness that sharply reduces surface insolation, has suppressed daytime maxima well below the late-August climatological average of roughly 25.5°C. Multiple guidance runs align on 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% shower chance and possible thunderstorms, explaining the tight market clustering at 21°C (45.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 22°C (18.5%). Updated morning model runs and radar trends remain the next key inputs likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,628Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and post-frontal westerly flow are keeping Environment Canada and model consensus centered on a Toronto high near 21°C for August 23. Cooler air advection behind a recent frontal passage, combined with widespread cloudiness that sharply reduces surface insolation, has suppressed daytime maxima well below the late-August climatological average of roughly 25.5°C. Multiple guidance runs align on 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% shower chance and possible thunderstorms, explaining the tight market clustering at 21°C (45.5%), 20°C (29.5%), and 22°C (18.5%). Updated morning model runs and radar trends remain the next key inputs likely to shift these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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