Recent model runs from Environment Canada highlight uncertainty in Toronto’s overnight minimum for August 24, with forecasts clustering near 11–13 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover expected through the night. These conditions modulate radiative cooling rates, while light southerly flow limits cold-air advection from the north. Historical August minima average near 17 °C, so current guidance reflects a cooler-than-normal air mass; however, timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands could shift the low by several degrees. The near-even market split between 12 °C and sub-10 °C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model guidance later today will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 24 de agosto?
12°C 41%
10°C 30%
11°C 29%
9°C o menos 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o menos
28%
10°C
30%
11°C
29%
12°C
41%
13°C
23%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C o más
2%
12°C 41%
10°C 30%
11°C 29%
9°C o menos 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o menos
$5 Vol.
28%
10°C
$5 Vol.
30%
11°C
$5 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
41%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$33 Vol.
25%
19°C o más
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Environment Canada highlight uncertainty in Toronto’s overnight minimum for August 24, with forecasts clustering near 11–13 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover expected through the night. These conditions modulate radiative cooling rates, while light southerly flow limits cold-air advection from the north. Historical August minima average near 17 °C, so current guidance reflects a cooler-than-normal air mass; however, timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands could shift the low by several degrees. The near-even market split between 12 °C and sub-10 °C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model guidance later today will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$45Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Environment Canada highlight uncertainty in Toronto’s overnight minimum for August 24, with forecasts clustering near 11–13 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover expected through the night. These conditions modulate radiative cooling rates, while light southerly flow limits cold-air advection from the north. Historical August minima average near 17 °C, so current guidance reflects a cooler-than-normal air mass; however, timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands could shift the low by several degrees. The near-even market split between 12 °C and sub-10 °C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model guidance later today will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from Environment Canada highlight uncertainty in Toronto’s overnight minimum for August 24, with forecasts clustering near 11–13 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover expected through the night. These conditions modulate radiative cooling rates, while light southerly flow limits cold-air advection from the north. Historical August minima average near 17 °C, so current guidance reflects a cooler-than-normal air mass; however, timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands could shift the low by several degrees. The near-even market split between 12 °C and sub-10 °C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model guidance later today will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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