National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer Central Texas. This consensus, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 100°F and historical records reach 105°F on this date, underpins the market’s primary weighting on the 104–105°F bin. Modest uncertainty in peak readings across observing stations and slight model spread supports secondary interest in 106–107°F. Warmer-than-normal seasonal outlooks and recent heat episodes further align trader sentiment with these leading outcomes ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 23 de agosto?
106-107°F 54%
104-105°F 44%
108-109°F 3.8%
102-103°F 3%
$18,793 Vol.
$18,793 Vol.
95°F o menos
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
54%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o más
<1%
106-107°F 54%
104-105°F 44%
108-109°F 3.8%
102-103°F 3%
$18,793 Vol.
$18,793 Vol.
95°F o menos
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
54%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer Central Texas. This consensus, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 100°F and historical records reach 105°F on this date, underpins the market’s primary weighting on the 104–105°F bin. Modest uncertainty in peak readings across observing stations and slight model spread supports secondary interest in 106–107°F. Warmer-than-normal seasonal outlooks and recent heat episodes further align trader sentiment with these leading outcomes ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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