Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 25 de agosto?
77°F o menos 69%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
80-81°F 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
77°F o menos
69%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
20%
96°F o más
29%
77°F o menos 69%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
80-81°F 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
77°F o menos
$5 Vol.
69%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
48%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
21%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
20%
96°F o más
$5 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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