**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a daily minimum near 84°F for Dallas on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s amid a broader heat wave, with recent observations and model runs showing little cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover. A potential tropical system threat later in the week has not yet altered steering patterns enough to bring a cooler air mass, keeping higher-temperature bins (86°F+) at lower but still notable odds around 33%. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75-77°F, but 2026 conditions have run several degrees above average, supporting the current trader consensus backed by real-time forecast consensus. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the next key data point for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 23 de agosto?
79°F or below 33%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 33%
86-87°F 33%
79°F or below
33%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
53%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o más
<1%
79°F or below 33%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 33%
86-87°F 33%
79°F or below
33%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
53%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a daily minimum near 84°F for Dallas on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 52.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s amid a broader heat wave, with recent observations and model runs showing little cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover. A potential tropical system threat later in the week has not yet altered steering patterns enough to bring a cooler air mass, keeping higher-temperature bins (86°F+) at lower but still notable odds around 33%. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 75-77°F, but 2026 conditions have run several degrees above average, supporting the current trader consensus backed by real-time forecast consensus. Updated NWS guidance tonight will provide the next key data point for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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